China Bearing Steel Market in October Will Remain Weakly Volatile
1.2 Yields datas of The finished steel From Jan to Aug: Increased year-on-year .
From Pic 2, the yields from ZHONGXING Bearing Steel(XINYE and XINCHENG), JUNENG and BENTE are the top three companies ahead of others, and these three contributes 59% of the yields.The total yields of bearing steel was still growing , Outputs from ZHONGXING Bearing Steel, JIGANG,Xing Bearing Steel, SHIGANG, JIANLONG and ZHONGXING Bearing Steel were incerased separately.
2.Performance of China Bearing Steel Market
Statistics from ten major bearing steel manufacturers shows that, From Jan,2017 to Aug,2017, the exports of bearing steel was 85,229 tons, a 18.42% drop (that is 19,842 tons) than last year. The exports of bearing steel was 11,834tons, down 469 tons than last month.The volume decreased by 3.81% year-on-year and also decreased by 3.06% comparing the last year. Pic 3 shows the bearing steel export variation since 2016, now the exporters mainly centered by XINGCHENG, DAYE and DONGTE ,And XINCHENG contributes most of the volume with 11,085tons. At present domestic prices continue to rise sharply, export pressures are on the high side, steel mills continue to shrink the volume of foreign trade, and later domestic exports may decline.
3.Related Market Information
3.1 Raw Material Price
In September, the price of imported minerals fell to 64.7dollars/ton. While the market price of general carbon and rust steel remained higher to 1553RMB/ton, which was increased by 4.72% comparing with last month. The price of high carbon ferrochrome pulled back and the average price was 8653RMB/ton at the end of this month. With the influence of Safety and environment policy, The raw material price was estimated weakly volatile
3.2 Downstream Industry
Statistics from China Automobile Industry Association: The overall sales volume of Aug, 2017 increased compared both with the previous quarter and the same period a year before. From January to August, the growth of auto productionkeeps in 4%~5%, commercial vehicles still increased by 15%~17% year on year growth . In August, the yields of autos reach to20,926,000 units, the result is increased by 1.61% comparing with last year, and increased by 4.84% year-on-year . Sales volume reaches to 2,186,000units, the result increased by 10.89% comparing with last year, and increased by 5.27% year-on-year . From January to August,both yields and sales volume is 1,767,830 units and 1,751,110units. It is increased by 4.67% and4.25% year-on-year growth.
4.Conclusion
Review of the bearing steel market in September, the price of the bearing steel was up slightly ,and demand growth disappoints. Under the pressure of Chinese Environment policy, downstream manufacturing industries,logistics industries in Shandong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang area were affected, that leads to shrinkage of the demands.
With the influence of environmental policy and the major steel factory prices continue to rise, bearing steel market prices is expected to or will remained relatively shock in October.
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